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Tearing Apart the Headlines
Updated: 2009-03-07 18:06:33
Description: Did you know General Electric (GE) posted record revenues last quarter?  That has not really helped their stock, has it?   Remember always, price is the ultimate indicator, which is why I rely more and more on charts.  Fundamental analysts and co...more...

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Morgan Stanley buying Smith Barney from Citibank: Why?
Updated: 2009-01-10 22:38:31
Description: In this podcast, Tom Mullooly discusses several reasons why Citibank would consider selling Smith Barney, to their competitor, Morgan Stanley. There are several reasons why Citibank may be considering this transaction, including: Citibank simply n...more...

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The Economic Recovery of 2009
Updated: 2009-01-03 19:14:20
Description: Economic recessions and economic depressionsSince 1854, the United States has been through 32 economic cycles, one cycle lasting (average) nearly 5 years.  That'snotthe length of a recession, that's an entire economiccycle.  This includes...more...

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Covered Call Writing
Updated: 2008-12-06 20:31:06
Description: (Warning: math ahead!) Covered call writing is when you own a stock (or buy a stock today) …and also sell (or write) a call option against that position. The main thing people forget about covered call writing is this: anytime you sell somethin...more...

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Why Support Lines Matter
Updated: 2008-09-06 17:41:15
Description: Suddenly stopping…from Belmar, NJ along the way to NYC. A question came up recently from a client… "we invested in the stock recently, and it went up nicely at first.  But recently, the stock has started to fall.  I'm not sure i...more...

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Volatile Stock Market
Updated: 2007-12-04 05:53:02
Description: Now, sometimes the “short-term” turns into the “long term,” so we’ll monitor what unfolds in the next few days. And keep you posted if conditions change. But my experience tells me we’re not out of the woods yet. A...more...

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One of Our Better Tools
Updated: 2007-11-05 21:13:40
Description: One of Our Better Tools We’ve got a tool we rely on here at Mullooly Asset Management called “relative strength.” This tool simply tells us which investments are moving faster than the entire market, or moving slower than the entire...more...

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Stock Market Reversal?
Updated: 2007-05-24 01:00:45
Description: Short term indicators say the party may be ending soon. We’re starting to get the feeling that we’re in the 8th or 9th inning of the game. Three out of the four short-term charts we follow are now in a column of O’s, moving down. Th...more...

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Greenspan Predicts Chinese Stock Market Contraction
Updated: 2007-05-25 16:07:13
Description: Let’s talk about “dramatic contractions” and “irrational exuberance.”  Yesterday (May 23, 2007), former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan made a comment in a televised speech (at a conference in Madrid) that the boom in the Ch...more...

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Are we doing this right?
Updated: 2007-05-27 13:53:12
Description: I get calls from folks with money in the market, wanting to know if they’re in “the right position” or are they still in “good shape” with current market conditions. Here’s my reply: I am comfortable with what̵...more...

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Short-Term Indicators Move Down
Updated: 2007-05-30 06:35:04
Description: All four of the short-term indicators that I use to track the market have now moved down. The fourth indicator to finally capitulate and reverse down was the high low index, which occurred in just the last few days. This means that more new low’...more...

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Interest Rates are Rising
Updated: 2007-06-03 07:30:25
Description: Interest rates are on the rise. Why? In my line of work, we never know the reason why certain events took place — until after they’ve occurred. Then we have to deal with picking up the pieces, or mopping up the spilled milk. As many peopl...more...

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Look at the Bond Market
Updated: 2007-06-10 07:36:17
Description: Look At The Bond Market Hate being the party pooper, but I think it’s important to remind people that when interest rates start to creep up, that’s usually a sign that the party in the stock market may be taking a pause, or even coming to...more...

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China, Latin America, and Bonds
Updated: 2007-06-18 06:32:06
Description: China and Latin America currently holds the top scores for mutual funds. This is clearly where the money is being made at the moment. And the average Chinese mutual fund is way overbought. In other words, the average mutual fund in this group is curr...more...

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Market Averages Head Lower
Updated: 2007-06-25 00:34:20
Description: Am I a broken clock? Or is the rest of the world figuring out what we’ve been saying all along? The primary indicator that I use to measure risk in the market is the New York Stock exchange bullish percent chart. This chart merely tells us the ...more...

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The Tide Is Starting To Move Out
Updated: 2007-06-28 16:13:24
Description: The primary indicator that I follow, the New York Stock Exchange Bullish Percent chart is within 1% of a move from a column of X’s to a column of O’s. This kind of shift indicates a move from offense to defense. Moving to defense does NOT mean that t...more...

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NYSE Bullish Percent
Updated: 2007-07-01 06:00:15
Description: Our main coach, the New York Stock Exchange bullish percent chart has signaled this week it’s time to bring the defensive playbook out. “Wealth preservation” becomes the key now. The bullish percent is a “risk” indicator...more...

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The Bullish Percent Index
Updated: 2007-07-07 16:47:16
Description: Remember that the NYSE Bullish Percent tells us the amount of risk currently in the market. It’s not a tool that will tell us whether the market will zoom up or down. Currently, it’s telling us the risk in the market is at it’s high...more...

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How the Bullish Percent Index works
Updated: 2007-07-10 06:42:44
Description: How the Bullish Percent Index works To understand how the bullish percent index, our main coach, works, you need to begin with and understand three main concepts. First, the bullish percent index merely measures the percentage of stocks currently on ...more...

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More about the Bullish Percent
Updated: 2007-07-15 06:47:58
Description: More about the Bullish Percent  A question that’s often asked is, “if your signals suggest we are on defense, why does it seem like the market is still going up?” Over the last few years, we’ve seen many pullbacks in the range of 5% to 8%...more...

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Even More About The Bullish Percent Index
Updated: 2007-07-18 06:55:06
Description: Even More About The Bullish Percent Index I’ve been getting questions about the bullish percent index, and playing offense or defense, like “if we’re on defense, will all stocks move down?” And “What if I don’t want to s...more...

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Stock Market Caution
Updated: 2007-07-25 01:43:59
Description: I’d like to convey to you why I’m more cautious today than 99% of the brokers and advisers. We might just need a 10 minute conversation — we could have that in a conference call, or a Web meeting, or simply over the telephone. Basic...more...

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Making Money in Stocks
Updated: 2007-07-29 01:48:54
Description: Is it true that high net worth investors focus only on generating the highest returns? No! The ultra-wealthy focus primarily on risk management. These people are not gamblers. The old line from Mark Twain — you should be more concerned about th...more...

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When to buy, When to sell?
Updated: 2007-08-08 04:34:03
Description: Hanging onto a stock because your broker says “it’s a good value” doesn’t help when you’re losing money, right? Look, much ink has been spilled lately about the stock market. First, everyone was slapping themselves on th...more...

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Oversold Market
Updated: 2007-08-10 04:02:53
Description: The market may be putting in a short term bottom here. That’s great news for traders, not so hot if you are longer term, like most folks. The short-term indicators I use, like the NYSE Hi-Lo Index and the NYSE 10-week moving average have reache...more...

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Losing Money in Stocks
Updated: 2007-08-12 06:04:45
Description: Football coaches never predict the outcome — they expect to win! The coach runs the best plays he can, when he’s got the ball. And when he doesn’t have the ball, he sends the defensive team onto the field. And so it should be with y...more...

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Market Bottom?
Updated: 2007-08-20 20:19:37
Description: Market bottom? Probably not. But the Federal Reserve is awake. The Fed stepped in a week ago, and injected liquidity in the financial system. But wait: they didn’t buy Treasury Bills (like they often do). They bought mortgage-backed securities....more...

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Staying Power
Updated: 2007-08-21 06:19:44
Description: I’m not an economist (thank goodness!), but it’s just my opinion that episodes like what happened in 1998 (and even in 2001 and in 2002) — when the Fed stepped in and changed interest rates — were more situations of market ...more...

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Stock Market Whipsaw II
Updated: 2007-08-27 19:05:11
Description: OK, in just the last few days, the indicators I rely on to manage your money flipped from defense to offense. This means we ought to be looking to put money to work. But before you jump in the pool, let’s examine some facts: The bullish percent (the ...more...

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Stock Market Predictions
Updated: 2007-09-01 20:46:11
Description: Do you get your news — your investment ideas — from the news? The media — meaning, newspapers and magazines and financial channels all report what HAS happened. And then they try to — painfully — predict what WILL happen...more...

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Waiting For News
Updated: 2007-09-05 07:40:56
Description: In my previous column, I mentioned that getting your investment ideas from financial channels and the business section of newspapers and magazines is really a painful path to follow in the money game. There’s a great example occurring right now...more...

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We Have Inside Information?
Updated: 2007-09-09 07:44:49
Description: Let’s talk about “inside information” and the stock market. At some point we have to come to this realization: we’re never going to have complete information — EVER — when it comes to a particular stock or investment. There will alw...more...

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Wall Street Brokers
Updated: 2007-09-16 06:43:52
Description: The big reason why the market fell apart this summer was because the financial stocks — the brokerage firms in particular — really struggled. We’re just learning these firms held a LOT of mortgage loans in their portfolio. And there’s rea...more...

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Beating the Market
Updated: 2007-09-25 00:03:40
Description: One of the best tools we have at our disposal is something called “relative strength.” Look, you can’t beat the market, unless the investments you own ARE beating the market. In other words, hanging onto something “just becaus...more...

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Help with My 401k
Updated: 2007-10-01 19:29:32
Description: On average, 70% of the funds you can choose from in your typical 401(k) plan are large-cap growth funds. This is precisely the area that we needed to avoid the past seven years. Even “lifestyle” funds (sometimes called “target-term” funds...more...

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Interpreting the News, part I
Updated: 2007-10-09 04:45:47
Description: Friday morning, October 5, the Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board (Donald Kohn) was quoted as saying “a one half point rate cut may be enough.” That headline sent the bond market into a tailspin. But wait, here’s the entire ...more...

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